Does the study actually say that?

claim-to-source reads a health article, resolves the studies it cites through Europe PMC, and reports what each cited paper does and does not support.

The distinction the tool exists to protect

Three outcomes, and only one of them is a criticism of the article.

This run

Eight articles written for this repository, each one designed around a single named failure mode, plus one written to be entirely faithful to its sources. The studies they cite are real papers, resolved from a committed Europe PMC cache.

The check worth the most: relative against absolute

“Halves your risk” is a ratio. Whether it matters depends on the baseline, and when the source states the baseline the useful number is exactly computable.

Aggressive blood pressure targets halve your heart risk
what the article says50% lower risk
baseline in the source2.19% per year (1 in 46)
what the article's number implies1.095% per year
change implied, in points1.095
people affected per 10,000110
one event per91 people
what the study itself found2.19% to 1.65% per year, a difference of 0.54 points

from the source: “The intervention was stopped early after a median follow-up of 3.26 years owing to a significantly lower rate of the primary composite outcome in the intensive-treatment group than in the standard-treatment group (1.65% per year vs. 2.19% per year; hazard ratio with intensive treatment, 0.75; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.64 to 0.89; P<0.001).”

What happened on a real article

Written fixtures only test what their author already thought of, so the tool was pointed at six live NIH news releases. One of them is kept in the repository because of what it found.

A false accusation, at confidence 0.80. The release reports the lifestyle arm of a diabetes-prevention follow-up accurately. The abstract of that paper also contains the sentence “There was no difference between participants in the metformin and placebo groups”, about an arm the release makes no claim about. The contradiction check fired on any null sentence anywhere in an abstract, and so told a reader that an accurate press release contradicted its own source. It now requires the null sentence to share a distinctive term with the claim, and a regression test holds that in place alongside a control proving the check still fires on a claim that really is about the metformin arm.

Eight of ten claims came back NOT CHECKED, and that is the honest answer. A press release puts its reference in a line at the foot of the page, not beside each sentence, and the proximity rule will not reach that far. A tool willing to guess would have attributed ten claims to one paper and judged every one of them.

Every claim, every verdict

causal-from-cohort.html

3 claims · 1 supported · 2 not supported · 0 not checked · 0 omission(s) · exit 1

x NOT SUPPORTED CAUSAL_FROM_OBSERVATIONAL confidence 0.75

“Four cups of coffee a day cuts your risk of dying”

cites: Association of coffee drinking with total and cause-specific mortality · The New England journal of medicine 2012 · observational

the source is observational and reports an association; this sentence states it as cause and effect, with no hedge

Association of coffee drinking with total and cause-specific mortality

confidence basis: study design read from the abstract's own wording

checks that could not run here: absolute-risk (the abstract reports no absolute event rates, so the absolute risk cannot be computed); duration (the abstract does not state a study duration); contradiction (the abstract states no negative result to contradict)

x NOT SUPPORTED CAUSAL_FROM_OBSERVATIONAL confidence 0.75

“Drinking four or five cups of coffee a day lowers your risk of death by 12%, according to a study of American adults in the New England Journal of Medicine (Freedman et al., 2012).”

cites: Association of coffee drinking with total and cause-specific mortality · The New England journal of medicine 2012 · observational

the source is observational and reports an association; this sentence states it as cause and effect, with no hedge

Association of coffee drinking with total and cause-specific mortality

confidence basis: study design read from the abstract's own wording

checks that could not run here: absolute-risk (the abstract reports no absolute event rates, so the absolute risk cannot be computed); duration (the abstract does not state a study duration); contradiction (the abstract states no negative result to contradict)

= SUPPORTED SUPPORTED_BY_SOURCE confidence 0.77

“Coffee may also protect the heart, the researchers noted.”

cites: Association of coffee drinking with total and cause-specific mortality · The New England journal of medicine 2012 · observational

the cited source states this, and none of the named failure modes fired

Association of coffee drinking with total and cause-specific mortality

confidence basis: lexical support check: 4 of 6 distinctive terms appear in the source: caffeine, coffee, espresso, heart

checks that could not run here: absolute-risk (the abstract reports no absolute event rates, so the absolute risk cannot be computed); duration (the abstract does not state a study duration); contradiction (the abstract states no negative result to contradict)

contradicted.html

2 claims · 0 supported · 2 not supported · 0 not checked · 4 omission(s) · exit 1

x NOT SUPPORTED DIRECTION_CONTRADICTED confidence 0.80

“A shot of beetroot juice before a race improves sprint performance in trained athletes, according to a placebo-controlled trial in the Journal of the International Society of Sports Nutrition (trial).”

cites: Acute beetroot juice ingestion fails to improve sprint performance and neuromuscular function in trained male sprinters: a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled study · Journal of the International Society of Sports Nutrition 2026 · rct

the article asserts an effect; the cited study reports that it did not find one

Acute beetroot juice ingestion fails to improve sprint performance and neuromuscular function in trained male sprinters: a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled study

UNDISCLOSED_SAMPLE_SIZE (omission): the study had 12 participants and the article never says so

UNDISCLOSED_DURATION (omission): the study ran for 150 minutes and the article never says so

confidence basis: the source's own negative statement is quoted above

checks that could not run here: effect-size (the abstract reports no hazard, risk or odds ratio); absolute-risk (the abstract reports no absolute event rates, so the absolute risk cannot be computed)

x NOT SUPPORTED DIRECTION_CONTRADICTED confidence 0.80

“Nitrate in the juice boosts muscle contraction, the authors explain.”

cites: Acute beetroot juice ingestion fails to improve sprint performance and neuromuscular function in trained male sprinters: a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled study · Journal of the International Society of Sports Nutrition 2026 · rct

the article asserts an effect; the cited study reports that it did not find one

Acute beetroot juice ingestion fails to improve sprint performance and neuromuscular function in trained male sprinters: a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled study

UNDISCLOSED_SAMPLE_SIZE (omission): the study had 12 participants and the article never says so

UNDISCLOSED_DURATION (omission): the study ran for 150 minutes and the article never says so

confidence basis: the source's own negative statement is quoted above

checks that could not run here: effect-size (the abstract reports no hazard, risk or odds ratio); absolute-risk (the abstract reports no absolute event rates, so the absolute risk cannot be computed)

fabricated-attribution.html

1 claims · 0 supported · 1 not supported · 0 not checked · 0 omission(s) · exit 1

x NOT SUPPORTED NOT_IN_SOURCE confidence 0.70

“The same trial found that eating more fermented food improves gut microbiome diversity (SPRINT, 2015).”

cites: A Randomized Trial of Intensive versus Standard Blood-Pressure Control · The New England journal of medicine 2015 · rct

the cited paper is about something else; nothing in it addresses this sentence

confidence basis: no distinctive term from the claim appears anywhere in the source

checks that could not run here: contradiction (the abstract states no negative result to contradict)

in-vitro-as-human.html

2 claims · 0 supported · 2 not supported · 0 not checked · 0 omission(s) · exit 1

x NOT SUPPORTED IN_VITRO_AS_HUMAN confidence 0.90

“Broccoli compound kills breast cancer, study finds”

cites: Sulforaphane promotes the removal of doxorubicin-induced senescent epithelial and breast cancer cells and activates AhR/CYP1A1-based adaptive response in vitro · Chemico-biological interactions 2026 · lab

the cited study treated cells in culture, not people or animals; the article does not say so

Sulforaphane promotes the removal of doxorubicin-induced senescent epithelial and breast cancer cells and activates AhR/CYP1A1-based adaptive response in vitro

confidence basis: the abstract names cell lines or in vitro work and no participants

checks that could not run here: effect-size (the abstract reports no hazard, risk or odds ratio); absolute-risk (the abstract reports no absolute event rates, so the absolute risk cannot be computed); sample-size (the abstract does not state a sample size); duration (the abstract does not state a study duration); contradiction (the abstract states no negative result to contradict)

x NOT SUPPORTED IN_VITRO_AS_HUMAN confidence 0.90

“Sulforaphane, the compound that gives broccoli its bitter edge, kills breast cancer cells, researchers report in Chemico-Biological Interactions (study).”

cites: Sulforaphane promotes the removal of doxorubicin-induced senescent epithelial and breast cancer cells and activates AhR/CYP1A1-based adaptive response in vitro · Chemico-biological interactions 2026 · lab

the cited study treated cells in culture, not people or animals; the article does not say so

Sulforaphane promotes the removal of doxorubicin-induced senescent epithelial and breast cancer cells and activates AhR/CYP1A1-based adaptive response in vitro

confidence basis: the abstract names cell lines or in vitro work and no participants

checks that could not run here: effect-size (the abstract reports no hazard, risk or odds ratio); absolute-risk (the abstract reports no absolute event rates, so the absolute risk cannot be computed); sample-size (the abstract does not state a sample size); duration (the abstract does not state a study duration); contradiction (the abstract states no negative result to contradict)

mouse-as-human.html

2 claims · 0 supported · 2 not supported · 0 not checked · 0 omission(s) · exit 1

x NOT SUPPORTED SPECIES_MISMATCH confidence 0.90

“Resveratrol, the polyphenol in red wine, improves survival on a high-calorie diet, according to a landmark paper in Nature (Baur et al., 2006).”

cites: Resveratrol improves health and survival of mice on a high-calorie diet · Nature 2006 · lab

the cited study was done in mice, flies, worms and yeast; neither this sentence nor its paragraph says so, so a reader takes it as a finding about people

Resveratrol improves health and survival of mice on a high-calorie diet

confidence basis: the abstract names the animal and never names human participants

checks that could not run here: effect-size (the abstract reports no hazard, risk or odds ratio); absolute-risk (the abstract reports no absolute event rates, so the absolute risk cannot be computed); sample-size (the abstract does not state a sample size); duration (the abstract does not state a study duration); contradiction (the abstract states no negative result to contradict)

x NOT SUPPORTED SPECIES_MISMATCH confidence 0.90

“The same work found that resveratrol increases insulin sensitivity and improves motor function, which is why longevity clinics now sell it by the bottle.”

cites: Resveratrol improves health and survival of mice on a high-calorie diet · Nature 2006 · lab

the cited study was done in mice, flies, worms and yeast; neither this sentence nor its paragraph says so, so a reader takes it as a finding about people

Resveratrol improves health and survival of mice on a high-calorie diet

confidence basis: the abstract names the animal and never names human participants

checks that could not run here: effect-size (the abstract reports no hazard, risk or odds ratio); absolute-risk (the abstract reports no absolute event rates, so the absolute risk cannot be computed); sample-size (the abstract does not state a sample size); duration (the abstract does not state a study duration); contradiction (the abstract states no negative result to contradict)

relative-risk.html

2 claims · 0 supported · 2 not supported · 0 not checked · 2 omission(s) · exit 1

x NOT SUPPORTED RISK_MAGNITUDE_OVERSTATED confidence 0.85

“Aggressive blood pressure targets halve your heart risk”

cites: A Randomized Trial of Intensive versus Standard Blood-Pressure Control · The New England journal of medicine 2015 · rct

the article says 50% lower ('halve'); the largest same-direction estimate in the source is hazard ratio 0.73, which is 27%. That is 1.85x smaller than the article's figure

All-cause mortality was also significantly lower in the intensive-treatment group (hazard ratio, 0.73; 95% CI, 0.60 to 0.90; P=0.003).

MISSING_ABSOLUTE_RISK (omission): the article gives only the relative change (50% lower). The source reports a baseline of 2.19% per year (1 in 46). Applied to that baseline the claim means 1.095% per year, a change of 1.095 percentage points, or about 110 fewer people per 10,000, one per 91 people. The source's own figures are 2.19% and 1.65% per year, a difference of 0.54 percentage points or one event per 185 people.

confidence basis: arithmetic on two numbers, both quoted above

checks that could not run here: contradiction (the abstract states no negative result to contradict)

x NOT SUPPORTED RISK_MAGNITUDE_OVERSTATED confidence 0.85

“Pushing systolic blood pressure below 120 halves your risk of a heart attack or stroke, a landmark trial found (SPRINT, NEJM 2015).”

cites: A Randomized Trial of Intensive versus Standard Blood-Pressure Control · The New England journal of medicine 2015 · rct

the article says 50% lower ('halves'); the largest same-direction estimate in the source is hazard ratio 0.73, which is 27%. That is 1.85x smaller than the article's figure

All-cause mortality was also significantly lower in the intensive-treatment group (hazard ratio, 0.73; 95% CI, 0.60 to 0.90; P=0.003).

MISSING_ABSOLUTE_RISK (omission): the article gives only the relative change (50% lower). The source reports a baseline of 2.19% per year (1 in 46). Applied to that baseline the claim means 1.095% per year, a change of 1.095 percentage points, or about 110 fewer people per 10,000, one per 91 people. The source's own figures are 2.19% and 1.65% per year, a difference of 0.54 percentage points or one event per 185 people.

confidence basis: arithmetic on two numbers, both quoted above

checks that could not run here: contradiction (the abstract states no negative result to contradict)

unchecked.html

4 claims · 0 supported · 0 not supported · 4 not checked · 0 omission(s) · exit 2

? NOT CHECKED NO_CITATION confidence 0.00

“Magnesium glycinate before bed improves sleep quality within a week.”

cites: nothing

this sentence cites no study, so there is nothing to check it against. That is not the same as the claim being wrong

confidence basis: no source was identified, so no check was performed

? NOT CHECKED FETCH_FAILED confidence 0.00

“A separate paper reports that magnesium supplements improve sleep quality in older adults (2026 study).”

cites: https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/41697399/ (not read)

the source pmid:41697399 could not be retrieved: ConnectionError: source lookups are offline (pass --network to allow them). The claim is unexamined, not disproved

confidence basis: lookup outcome was 'fetch_failed'

? NOT CHECKED SOURCE_NOT_FOUND confidence 0.00

“A daily walk reduces the risk of dementia by a third, researchers reported last year (journal record).”

cites: https://doi.org/10.9999/journal-of-invented-results.2024.00777 (not read)

the citation 10.9999/journal-of-invented-results.2024.00777 did not resolve to any record in Europe PMC, so the claim was never compared against anything

confidence basis: lookup outcome was 'not_found'

? NOT CHECKED NO_ABSTRACT confidence 0.00

“Vitamin D deficiency causes winter depression in northern latitudes (review).”

cites: https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/31124288/ (not read)

the record for 31124288 exists but carries no abstract text, which is normal for paywalled and editorial content; only the full text could answer this

confidence basis: lookup outcome was 'no_abstract'

well-sourced.html

4 claims · 4 supported · 0 not supported · 0 not checked · 0 omission(s) · exit 0

= SUPPORTED SUPPORTED_BY_SOURCE confidence 0.79

“In a randomized trial of 9,361 adults at high cardiovascular risk, a systolic target below 120 mm Hg lowered the rate of serious cardiovascular events from 2.19% to 1.65% per year over a median of 3.26 years (SPRINT, NEJM 2015).”

cites: A Randomized Trial of Intensive versus Standard Blood-Pressure Control · The New England journal of medicine 2015 · rct

the cited source states this, and none of the named failure modes fired

Conclusions: Among patients at high risk for cardiovascular events but without diabetes, targeting a systolic blood pressure of less than 120 mm Hg, as compared with less than 140 mm Hg, resulted in lower rates of fatal and nonfatal major cardiovascular events and death from any cause, although significantly higher rates of some adverse events were observed in the intensive-treatment group.

confidence basis: lexical support check: 15 of 21 distinctive terms appear in the source: attack, cardiovascular, coronary, diastolic, event, hypertension, infarction, median

checks that could not run here: contradiction (the abstract states no negative result to contradict)

= SUPPORTED SUPPORTED_BY_SOURCE confidence 0.84

“In a cohort of 229,119 men and 173,141 women, coffee drinking was associated with lower mortality, and the authors wrote that whether the finding is causal cannot be determined from their data (Freedman et al., 2012).”

cites: Association of coffee drinking with total and cause-specific mortality · The New England journal of medicine 2012 · observational

the cited source states this, and none of the named failure modes fired

Methods: We examined the association of coffee drinking with subsequent total and cause-specific mortality among 229,119 men and 173,141 women in the National Institutes of Health-AARP Diet and Health Study who were 50 to 71 years of age at baseline.

confidence basis: lexical support check: 18 of 21 distinctive terms appear in the source: associat, caffeine, cannot, causal, coffee, data, death, determin

checks that could not run here: absolute-risk (the abstract reports no absolute event rates, so the absolute risk cannot be computed); duration (the abstract does not state a study duration); contradiction (the abstract states no negative result to contradict)

= SUPPORTED SUPPORTED_BY_SOURCE confidence 0.85

“Resveratrol improved survival in middle-aged mice fed a high-calorie diet (Baur et al., 2006).”

cites: Resveratrol improves health and survival of mice on a high-calorie diet · Nature 2006 · lab

the cited source states this, and none of the named failure modes fired

Resveratrol improves health and survival of mice on a high-calorie diet

confidence basis: lexical support check: 13 of 15 distinctive terms appear in the source: death, died, dy, fatal, grape, high-calorie, mice, middle-ag

checks that could not run here: effect-size (the abstract reports no hazard, risk or odds ratio); absolute-risk (the abstract reports no absolute event rates, so the absolute risk cannot be computed); sample-size (the abstract does not state a sample size); duration (the abstract does not state a study duration); contradiction (the abstract states no negative result to contradict)

= SUPPORTED SUPPORTED_BY_SOURCE confidence 0.87

“In twelve trained male sprinters, beetroot juice taken 150 minutes before testing did not improve 60 m or 100 m sprint times (trial).”

cites: Acute beetroot juice ingestion fails to improve sprint performance and neuromuscular function in trained male sprinters: a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled study · Journal of the International Society of Sports Nutrition 2026 · rct

the cited source states this, and none of the named failure modes fired

Acute beetroot juice ingestion fails to improve sprint performance and neuromuscular function in trained male sprinters: a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled study

confidence basis: lexical support check: 13 of 14 distinctive terms appear in the source: beet, beetroot, juice, male, minut, nitrate, runn, runner

checks that could not run here: effect-size (the abstract reports no hazard, risk or odds ratio); absolute-risk (the abstract reports no absolute event rates, so the absolute risk cannot be computed)

What this tool cannot do

Sources resolved through Europe PMC. Not medical advice.